Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3101 · OGG → LIH
departs 1:55 PM HT · arrives 2:50 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LIH that day
↑
Other factors
↑
1pm departures from OGG are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.