Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3101 · OGG → LIH
departs 1:55 PM HT · arrives 2:50 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 22%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.5 in of rain forecast at LIH that day
↑
Other factors
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 2.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.