Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3161
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 3161 · CLT → DAL
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 1:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.39 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.