Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3220
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 3220 · MSP → BWI
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.