Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 359
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 359 · AUS → OAK
departs 1:35 PM CT · arrives 3:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at OAK that day
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.22 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.