Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4588
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 4588 · MCO → CMH
departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 11:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 38%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±2 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.