Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4703
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 4703 · HOU → ABQ
departs 9:20 PM CT · arrives 10:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.