Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4703
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 4703 · HOU → ABQ
departs 10:55 PM CT · arrives 12:10 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.