WN 631 · SJD → SNA

took off · landed 3:32 PM PT (scheduled 1:16 PM MST → 4:10 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJD

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SNA at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

SJD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 631 · SJD → SNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SNA?