YX 3423 · CVG → EWR

took off 6:10 AM ET · landed 7:35 AM ET (scheduled 5:52 AM ET → 7:59 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from CVG are usually not late

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3423 · CVG → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?