Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3603 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:25 AM ET, ETA 9:33 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

YX 3603 · EWR → DFW

took off 7:25 AM ET · expected to land 9:33 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±3 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3603 · EWR → DFW

Odds over time