tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4389 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 4389 · CLE → JFK

departs 5:05 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±2 pts −7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.