YX 5742 · DCA → LGA

took off 11:24 AM ET · landed 12:03 PM ET (scheduled 12:00 PM ET → 1:18 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.42 in

LGA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5742 · DCA → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?