AA 1292 · DEN → MIA

departs 12:06 AM MT · arrives 5:52 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1292 · DEN → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?