AA 1417 · CLT → MYR

departs 6:49 PM ET · arrives 7:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MYR?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MYR that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MYR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

MYR (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip2.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1417 · CLT → MYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MYR?