AA 1466 · CLT → JAX

took off 9:04 AM ET · landed 10:00 AM ET (scheduled 8:55 AM ET → 10:22 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ 8am departures from CLT are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into JAX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

JAX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1466 · CLT → JAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to JAX?