tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1591 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1591 · MSY → MIA

departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 11:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±5 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.