Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1716SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1716 · STL → MIA
departs 5:18 AM CT · arrives 9:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
5%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.