AA 1731 · CLT → CHS

departs 7:25 AM ET · arrives 8:34 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into CHS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

CHS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1731 · CLT → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?