Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1837SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 1837 · PHX → TPA
departs 3:29 PM MT · arrives 10:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±2 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.