Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1919 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 1919 · CLT → IAH

departs 12:30 PM ET · arrives 2:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 12pm departures from CLT are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.39 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1919 · CLT → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?