Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1919 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

AA 1919 · IAH → CLT

departs 3:06 PM CT · arrives 6:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±1 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.11 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1919 · IAH → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?