Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1952 SCHEDULED

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

AA 1952 · LAX → CLT

departs 7:12 AM PT · arrives 3:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1952 · LAX → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?