Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1995 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 1995 · CLT → LAX

departs 8:57 AM ET · arrives 10:56 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ 8am departures from CLT are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.39 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1995 · CLT → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?