AA 2013 · DFW → CLT

departs 3:58 PM CT · arrives 7:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.18 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2013 · DFW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?