Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2107 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

AA 2107 · CLT → SEA

departs 3:24 PM ET · arrives 6:05 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.46 in

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2107 · CLT → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?