Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2169 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:16 AM CT, ETA 8:32 AM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 2169 · ORD → LAS

took off 7:16 AM CT · expected to land 8:32 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2169 · ORD → LAS

Odds over time