Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2261SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2261 · STL → DFW
departs 5:32 AM CT · arrives 7:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.