Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2278 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 2278 · OMA → CLT

departs 5:50 PM CT · arrives 8:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2278 · OMA → CLT

Odds over time