Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2381 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

AA 2381 · RDU → CLT

departs 11:13 AM ET · arrives 12:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at RDU that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RDU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.50 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2381 · RDU → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?