Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 259 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:54 AM WEST, ETA 1:39 PM ET)
Today

AA 259 · LIS → PHL

took off 11:54 AM WEST · expected to land 1:39 PM ET (scheduled 11:06 AM WEST → 1:30 PM ET)
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
53% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    47%
  2. 15–30 min late
    45%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.