tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 259 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 259 · LIS → PHL

departs 11:23 AM WEST · arrives 2:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.