Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2611 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

AA 2611 · CLT → SLC

departs 6:44 PM ET · arrives 9:12 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.81 in

SLC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2611 · CLT → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?