Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2680 LANDED 6:19 AM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 2680 · BTV → DCA

took off 5:14 AM ET · landed 6:19 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BTV (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2680 · BTV → DCA

Odds over time