AA 2714 · PHX → CLT

departs 10:51 PM MT · arrives 6:03 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at PHX that day

↓ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2714 · PHX → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?