Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2778SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2778 · MIA → TPA
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 8:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.