tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2794 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AA 2794 · CLT → EWR

departs 8:07 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 102h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Sunday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±31 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    56%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.