Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2816SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 2816 · DCA → JAX
departs 2:59 PM ET · arrives 5:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%chance · ±1 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.