Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2828SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2828 · TPA → CLT
departs 11:56 AM ET · arrives 1:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±4 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.