AA 2852 · CLT → MEM

departs 12:52 PM ET · arrives 1:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2852 · CLT → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?