Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2854
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2854 · DSM → CLT
departs 7:04 AM CT · arrives 10:30 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to CLT?
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On time or early
81%
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15–30 min late
9%
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30 min–1 hour late
3%
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1–2 hours late
3%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.