AA 2880 · CLT → MSN

departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 3:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into MSN at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

MSN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2880 · CLT → MSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSN?