Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2927 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 2927 · CLT → LGA

departs 1:31 PM ET · arrives 2:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

LGA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2927 · CLT → LGA

Odds over time