AA 2947 · AUS → CLT

took off 8:32 AM CT · expected to land 11:36 AM ET (scheduled 8:21 AM CT → 12:19 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2947 · AUS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?