AA 3070 · CLT → AUS

departs 3:12 PM ET · arrives 5:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3070 · CLT → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?