AA 3096 · CLT → STL

departs 11:01 AM ET · arrives 12:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.28 in

STL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3096 · CLT → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?