AA 3117 · CLT → CHS

departs 4:47 PM ET · arrives 6:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↓ CHS usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

CHS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.72 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3117 · CLT → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?