Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 419 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 419 · PUJ → MIA

departs 12:17 PM AST · arrives 2:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PUJ

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PUJ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MIA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 419 · PUJ → MIA

Odds over time