Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 469 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:09 AM PT, ETA 1:12 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 469 · LAX → CLT

took off 6:09 AM PT · expected to land 1:12 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from LAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 469 · LAX → CLT

Odds over time