tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 531 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AA 531 · DFW → TUL

departs 10:38 PM CT · arrives 11:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 106h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Sunday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
38% chance · ±8 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TUL?

  1. On time or early
    56%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    9%
  6. Cancelled
    9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.